Economic Intelligence

A daily read on Botswana markets, policy and the macro economy

Six models, the full BSE board and net of fees fund rankings in one place, built from primary sources and refreshed as each release lands. The analysis a treasury desk needs before it takes a view, without the terminal price.

One subscription covers a team of up to five.

What is inside

Six models and the full market, in one subscription

Each module runs on the same daily snapshot, so the bond desk, the rate path and the inflation read all agree on the numbers underneath them.

Bond desk

The full Botswana government bond curve priced line by line, with duration, the value of a basis point on the book, and the real yield each bond pays after the 12 month inflation forecast. Subscribers also get the buy, hold or sell call and how to pre empt the next auction.

Rate path

A projected path for the Monetary Policy Rate (MoPR), read from the output gap, inflation and the currency pressure the Bank of Botswana is managing, carried through to the loan pricing floor that protects the margin.

Inflation

Headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 3 and 12 months, built component by component so an administered price shock, fuel or transport, is separated from underlying demand driven inflation.

Currencies

The Pula against the rand, dollar, pound and euro, with 90 day performance, the crawling peg pressure, and a base, upside and downside scenario drawn from each partner economy's own inflation and policy rate.

Equities

The full Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) board, domestic and foreign, with a buy, hold or sell read on every listed security sized to how liquid it is, plus the exchange traded funds and the index level.

Unit trusts

Every Botswana unit trust ranked on the return you keep after fees, the one year return minus the total expense ratio. This fund against fund comparison is published nowhere else.

Who it is for

Built for the desks that carry the risk

Bank treasuries

A second, independent read on the curve, the rate path and the reserve position before you take a view.

Asset managers

One place to see how your funds rank net of fees and where the board is priced against fundamentals.

Policy and research

The macro picture assembled from Bank of Botswana, Statistics Botswana and the BSE, refreshed as each release lands.

Bespoke coverage

Do you have specific requirements for your entity?

Treasury desks, boards and research teams often need a reading tuned to their own exposures, a sector, a currency pair or a mandate benchmark. Tell us what you carry and we will show you how the desk can cover it. Book a consultation and we will take it from there.

Book a consultation
Chilo Ketlhoafetse

Why us

The Capital Media has covered the Botswana economy since 2020. Economic Intelligence puts the same discipline behind a daily product. Every number traces to a primary source, the Bank of Botswana, Statistics Botswana, Statistics South Africa or the BSE. Nothing is fabricated, and stale data never overwrites fresh.

Chilo Ketlhoafetse, Executive Director

Licence. A subscription grants the subscribing organisation a non exclusive, non transferable licence for up to five named users to access and use the platform's analysis for internal business purposes. It does not permit redistribution, resale, systematic copying, scraping, or use of the content to train machine learning systems. All intellectual property in the platform, its models and its content remains with The Capital Media (Pty) Ltd. Quotation in the subscriber's internal documents is permitted with attribution.