The rating that held, the transformation audited, and Kwa Nokeng comes to market
Three developments landed within weeks of each other, and each answers a different part of the same question: what Botswana's transformation costs, and who is paying for it. On 11 September, S&P Global Ratings affirmed Botswana's sovereign credit rating at BBB minus with a negative outlook. This was not a fresh downgrade. The downgrade happened in March. What S&P did this month was decline to cut further, crediting a reserves recovery and improved fiscal performance while holding the outlook negative on the strength of the deficit and debt trajectory. Days earlier, the BETP Secretariat published its first Mid Year Review, an 86 page account of the transformation programme's first six months. It is unusually candid, and it names the financing gap in its own risk register. And on 11 September, Kwa Nokeng Oil Holdings opened a public offer at BWP 1.00 per share ahead of a November listing on the BSE Domestic Main Board. Edition 14 examines all three, by institution, and names what needs to happen now.


